Choo Choo The HYPE train is here, one ticket please!
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Iâm bad at arithmetic and probability calculations. (and math in general)
However⌠isnât 39% just the percentage of people who will get keys over the percentage of people who donât?
5000 keys.
12800-4999 = 7801
Your individual chance to get a key among the remainder of players who wonât get a key isâŚ
1/7801 = 0.012818869%
I hope Iâm wrong here. (someone correct my math, please)
This calculation assumes that only one key exists (the other 4999 are already taken by one of the 12800)
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Donât want to start panicking but I am wiling to do stuff that I wonât be proud of in a few weeks just to get the key, such as selling family members, organs (mine or someone elseâs), and other shady things.
Get on your hype trains everyone 
Pray and Play 
you have to discount the number of people registered that is not entitled to get a key because they already have their CBTâs like Koreans, Chineses,etc.
There is no way, with the information we have, to give an accurate percentage.
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Dont forget the ones who are already garenteed it from ghub
@specterr
No⌠but letâs assume that every new account -after- the announcement is included.
So a decent average chance is something like
10000 new accounts (presume 70% have read the part about non-kr/indo/etc)
7000 people who fit into the requirement.
1 / 7000 - 4999
~0.05%
@Himself
If I actually include this⌠that value doesnât actually change much.
(if say 500 keys are reserved for contributors⌠it makes less than a 0.0001% difference in individual chance, ceteris paribus)
Yes, I guess you are right. It is around those numbers,
Good luck everyone 
odds arenât that high 
Sorry if this was asked already, I couldnât find it but what does âenteredâ mean?
And may the odds be ever in your favor!
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Just so you guys know, the user counter is no longer a valid source of information for Chance. Why? because IMCgames is aware of the people who are using programs to spam make accounts. And being greedy users, IMCgames plans not to give those users beta keys. If you look in the user list. Most of the users have random spam names. No human owning account does that.
39%? looks like pretty good odds?
They said 5000 Beta keys, and there is 10k users. Additionally they said they wont be giving keys to those who have multiple accounts (probably more then 2?) because users been using spam bots to make accounts. If you looked at the user list youll see it.
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That doesnt make sense. On top of that there is 10900 Members. Theyre giving 5000 keys out. If youre 1 out of those 5000 people to get a key. It means you have about 50 percent chance of getting a key.
But the fact theyre taking action against those who made multiple accounts using bots, youre more likely to get a key.
why even cap the number of beta testers eng version⌠:l its more fun if there are many players right? the more the merrier 
@lemuel_iv I imagine itâs because youâll have over 5000 people on a single server trying to quest and kill mobs.
With it being Beta they wont have too many dedicated servers active for more than what theyâre expecting.
Basic Math:
I have 10 Apples and i will eat 4 of them: I ended up eating 40% of the apples. It doesnât matter what apple i ate first, the result will always be the same.
hmmm⌠if thats the case why not make multiple servers like in other mmoâs, that also solves some lag issues caused by the amount of players online at the same time.