I bet you don’t even know what we are talking about here 
0 potential my friend
Oh save 1 for awKening and another one for trancendence…
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Explain that to the people who won the lottery with just one ticket and having bought it the first time, and to the people who’ve been hoping to win for years, buying multiple tickets at a time.
Thanks, never know transcendence also need to have potential.
Guess I’m down to my last chance lol.
The chance of getting the same outcome in a coin toss multiple times in a row is the same as getting every other specific sequence …
Getting head three times: 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5
Getting head - tail - head: 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5
Getting head - head - tail: 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5
Don’t bother, the guy doesn’t want to be questioned or doubted.
Listen, I stated the facts above, if you refuse logic or how things work, its your own problem, I will not bother explaining further.
Also, changing from a 50% 50% situation to a 0.0000000000000001% situation doesn’t prove you are right, its just that those people didn’t buy enough lottery tickets to have the maximum chance possible, if they bought all the lottery tickets on earth they would have won obviously, but because they didn’t, one person in the world had to randomly get that one winning ticket.
Don’t bother, the guy doesn’t want to be questioned or doubted.
Its because you had the facts in front of you that are clearly not questionable, not as if I made the theory myself just to convince you.
This is why people find maths hard it seems, well, have fun with your +4 then.
Except that you are more likely to get “a random sequence among the other sequences” than one specific sequence, which is head-head-head in our case (if head equals success in our situation).
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I envy you, you have so much extra time in your hands to waste explaining things to random strangers in the internet. XD
Somewhere in your responses you just contradicted your earlier replies. I won’t point it out. I presume you’re smart enough to notice it, what with your Math knowledge and sources.
Happy hunting! 
All of these specific sequences have the same likelihood to happen.
Coin tosses are independent as are upgrades ingame. It doesn’t matter if you had a success or a failure before since success-> fail and success-> success have (almost, since it’s 51% afaik) the same probability.
Read all of that site that you linked again. And not just the parts that fit your weird theory.
As I said earlier:
Of course it can still fail, but the chance to fail 4
times in a row with 50% success chance is very low, and if it happens
you can’t really do much about it, at least 2~3 fails were on something
that doesn’t matter much.
You’re not cheating the system by following this, the success chance to enhance afterwards is still 51%, but theorycrafting, if you want to be “less likely to fail on something that cost a lot”, you’d rather fail on something that doesn’t cost a lot.
The chance to get head head head is the same as any other sequence true, but the chance to get head head head is not the same chance as getting (head+tail+head and head+tail+tail and tail+tail+tail etc…) combined.
And I know what I’m saying, I read that site I linked years ago, this is not a magical solution or cheating the game’s mechanics, but we all know the chance to get head+head+head+head from the start is not 50%, and you can result in other sequences that include tail, which in our case equals failure.
As we know that the chance to get head+head+head+head is 6.25%, if you end up reaching head+head+head, you would know you are less likely overall to get tails, but in reality we know that the chance is independent and is actually still 50% to get heads, but if you are realistic enough, you would believe that you cannot keep getting the same result forever in a 50% chance coin toss, in which case I would rather try enhancing something else until I fail twice consecutively with the same odds then try again.
As I said, this doesn’t change the odds to succeed in one enhancement, it is still RNG, and it will forever be, but it is still somewhat safer in this game, coming from facts, but you can call it a way to “feel better about yourself”, I personally wouldn’t risk enhancing once again after succeeding 3~5 times in a row still .
TL;DR: It doesn’t boost your luck, but it evens the odds of a normal 100 coin toss that should result in an average of 50 head 50 tail result.
But the system doesn’t remember your earlier tries, they are independent events.
No matter if you failed on something else in between, the chance on your next try is still 51%.
Since when did I say it makes the enhancement chance more than what it actually is?
I might have said “more likely” but it was in theory crafting, in case of successive tries, you are not messing with the system or with the coding, you are messing with luck.
Why? Because if you throw infinite coins you should get 50% of the results as heads and 50% of the results as tail, however, you cannot throw an infinite amount of coins, but any high amount of coins is enough to prove that the average result should still be the same.
In our case, what we want to do is even the odds of failing with succeeding.
Unless you expect it to be absolutely normal and common for people to aim for a perfect +5->+15 or higher without failing.
You can’t mess with a system that is based on luck.
But hey, I’ll give up on this conversation now, do it your way if it “makes you feel better”, there is a reason why people believe in weird rituals, it fits our human brain even it it makes no sense, that’s how humans are wired.
Believe in it or not, that is not my point, I’m not forcing anyone to accept this as a “100% success chance ritual”.
Of course there will always be people who go against this, since this is clearly a theory, and no matter what you do the chance to succeed will not change and the system does not keep track of what kind of ritual you do whatsoever, and I already know that.
However, I rather be more realistic when it comes to odds and expect an average result than be a random person who believe he is lucky to get 69 successful enhancement in a row.
Maybe you should try to read and comprehend the very concepts you link to. You are never less likely to fail if you failed before, ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler’s_fallacy ) and enhancing 3 times with 2 different items does not change the probability at all. The proof is very simple, you should be able to comprehend it; failing to enhance item B does not effect the probability for succeeding with item A. The probability of a set of events happening is calculated as a single event. You aren’t calculating the odds of 3 successes in a row vs. the odds of at least one failure, you are calculating very specifically the odds of (success, fail, success).
There are many combinations in this 3 cointoss set, but let’s just compare the desirable outcome of the last coin toss to the undesirable, I.E. (A success , B fail, A success) - assume 50% success on both items for ease of understanding. The odds are 50% * 50% * 50%, or 12.5% of that outcome. (A success, B fail, A fail) is the exact same three rolls, 50% * 50% * 50%, 12.5%.
In fact, the only event that increases the odds of success is if the first roll is a failure, since that could potentially increase the odds of the last roll being a success if it drops lower than +10.
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That’s accurate enough, especially the wiki page which describes it as a “myth” or “ritual”, thing that I cannot reject entirely.
But you get the idea:
I rather be more realistic when it comes to odds and expect an
average result than be a random person who believe he is lucky to get
69 successful enhancement in a row.
It doesn’t increase your success odds on the next enhancement whatsoever, but it is better for anyone to aim for even odds than pure gambling.
In result, you wouldn’t call yourself “too lucky” for having the same number of success compared to the number of failures, but the “this is not entirely true, it doesn’t work every time, its just a myth” stays correct.
Then we are no longer discussing probability.
Personally using that ‘method’ to enhance wouldn’t make me feel any better, because I’d know I was spending more silver than I needed to for the same result for no reason.
That depends on you, I still see more people succeeding with that than those who don’t.